Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 79080.264485 83483.039051 87886.526617 92618.096959 97555.216168 102551.734252 107987.449059
2026-02-01 71305.491818 77972.771745 84828.521203 92395.499269 100503.683467 108921.502270 118311.831396
2026-02-08 66345.118377 74596.236345 83267.411711 93040.003054 103727.605697 115040.921559 127902.035736
2026-02-15 62044.910275 71428.595017 81473.050700 92992.884146 105806.674789 119589.188161 135501.011239
2026-02-22 59403.594573 69796.112397 81097.669855 94253.885659 109099.423347 125283.360171 144210.135110
2026-03-01 56919.019731 68126.983198 80490.953788 95078.156258 111750.917852 130145.129161 151903.256578
2026-03-08 54208.496800 66022.678718 79231.323999 95010.909687 113262.084168 133620.373368 157954.572641
2026-03-15 52033.341756 64405.678948 78410.928930 95335.400461 115124.663014 137420.685016 164324.388672
2026-03-22 50776.929246 63780.441924 78666.513376 96842.649832 118303.716407 142700.518878 172388.007281
2026-03-29 49416.356854 62952.702467 78616.322844 97931.476076 120949.326570 147337.826376 179704.297103
2026-04-05 47978.822135 61960.254057 78307.587337 98657.662966 123124.190170 151399.994969 186342.934555
2026-04-12 46313.898571 60619.352359 77516.995166 98748.069980 124494.785817 154483.429695 191813.650170
2026-04-19 44780.431308 59400.381768 76844.992394 98964.830640 126017.624084 157769.528157 197576.363721
2026-04-26 43175.632974 58035.826981 75945.419835 98860.626655 127120.268143 160537.777781 202723.813276
2026-05-03 42075.065292 57261.227069 75735.163509 99571.175389 129193.350858 164464.443230 209274.515437
2026-05-10 40681.125610 56062.542709 74951.035868 99528.013104 130307.346813 167209.518549 214389.655009
2026-05-17 40016.274308 55771.362943 75282.841044 100862.188043 133117.499187 172026.405581 222051.897810
2026-05-24 39180.436456 55225.760755 75264.956884 101733.557985 135338.168471 176120.475200 228845.347950
2026-05-31 37968.877137 54147.795335 74530.967917 101662.575871 136350.782550 178709.718139 233783.310644
2026-06-07 37000.576859 53359.105198 74140.495021 102005.473890 137867.728606 181916.800900 239493.013258
2026-06-14 36616.172767 53332.450190 74725.754151 103597.994129 140974.390952 187120.101464 247719.279491
2026-06-21 36067.329874 53063.875664 74978.598528 104748.261420 143513.005319 191619.860580 255089.833019
2026-06-28 35387.668020 52595.168187 74949.159652 105515.353893 145551.743070 195492.995259 261690.377120